Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.871339 2.135981 2.426649 2.769912 3.164636 3.604825 4.133643
2025-09-21 1.488204 1.833875 2.244960 2.771150 3.428673 4.225642 5.268650
2025-09-28 1.186917 1.558791 2.031375 2.678698 3.546620 4.676141 6.267443
2025-10-05 1.051088 1.459866 2.010635 2.811827 3.955808 5.542863 7.933125
2025-10-12 0.947630 1.382805 2.000281 2.947936 4.379452 6.483057 9.849013
2025-10-19 0.847257 1.291659 1.951899 3.014866 4.703878 7.318208 11.737816
2025-10-26 0.762033 1.208562 1.900148 3.063115 4.998410 8.140206 13.728023
2025-11-02 0.666114 1.094282 1.782520 2.985915 5.073539 8.611874 15.201987
2025-11-09 0.572548 0.970784 1.632669 2.831527 4.991239 8.798236 16.194296
2025-11-16 0.514956 0.900020 1.560900 2.799362 5.113392 9.350876 17.929275
2025-11-23 0.462550 0.831523 1.483999 2.746174 5.186582 9.818509 19.567078
2025-11-30 0.443025 0.819378 1.505310 2.875640 5.618991 11.019843 22.848754
2025-12-07 0.413342 0.786256 1.486551 2.931076 5.925033 12.038829 25.975990
2025-12-14 0.377784 0.737778 1.433052 2.911102 6.076580 12.768618 28.616200
2025-12-21 0.336900 0.674061 1.342295 2.802996 6.027809 13.068637 30.345812
2025-12-28 0.325029 0.667414 1.365118 2.936714 6.522137 14.628674 35.305903
2026-01-04 0.314303 0.661775 1.389127 3.075928 7.049101 16.344084 40.969449
2026-01-11 0.298160 0.642631 1.382021 3.144161 7.421224 17.753971 46.128934
2026-01-18 0.281939 0.621399 1.367741 3.193649 7.755369 19.123137 51.445132
2026-01-25 0.257667 0.579388 1.302141 3.112505 7.754806 19.652738 54.567282
2026-02-01 0.230441 0.527655 1.208541 2.950993 7.526574 19.558280 55.902446
2026-02-08 0.214222 0.499961 1.168168 2.917275 7.627141 20.353275 59.996464
2026-02-15 0.198170 0.470966 1.121540 2.861664 7.661358 20.973021 63.687115